A Stress Test for Prediction Markets
Is the industry ready for the midterms?
Will Gottsegen
Will Gottsegen is a staff writer at The Atlantic and an author of the Atlantic Daily and Over/Under newsletters.
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Illustration by The Atlantic. Source: Alexandre Schneider / Getty. Elon Musk and Dario Amodei Are Offering Gifts—With Strings Attached
Their charitable acts could help a lot of people—but they also raise questions about these companies’ role in society.
Illustration by The Atlantic. Sources: Chip Somodevilla / Getty; Alex Brandon / AP. A Bet That Young People Are Willing to Make
Bettors keep losing. Why do they keep coming back?
Illustration by The Atlantic. Source: Bettmann / Getty. America’s Latest Inflation Check-In Doesn’t Look Good for Trump
The recent Consumer Price Index report is the last word on inflation before the midterms.
Joe Raedle / Getty Welcome to Over/Under
A new newsletter on the latest in prediction markets, gambling, and the evolution of everyday risk
lllustration by The Atlantic. Source: Harold M. Lambert / Lambert / Getty. The White House and the Market Are Telling Different Stories
The Treasury secretary is projecting confidence while struggling to get borrowing costs down.
Al Drago / Bloomberg / Getty AI’s Risk to Financial Systems
The tech may soon become an existential risk to humanity, but it’s already a risk to many Americans in a more mundane way: their banks.
Illustration by The Atlantic. Source: Getty. Trump Is Looking for Diesel in All the Wrong Places
A Russia-Ukraine cease-fire isn’t guaranteed to get prices down.
David Paul Morris / Bloomberg / Getty Crypto Money Still Matters for the Midterms
The industry is a surprising top spender in the races.
Camilo Freedman / Bloomberg / Getty An Inflection Point for Prediction Markets
The crackdown on insider trading has exposed the platforms’ fundamental contradictions.
Alex Kent / The Washington Post / Getty
